Well, I can't understate it. This is simply not possible. Barack Obama is the greatest politician of all time (even though Firefox still doesn't recognize his name in the spellchecker), and he is flirting with being the biggest loser in the history of US politics. And he's going up against some figures that will be very hard to beat, but it looks like he is giving them a run for their money. Coming in, Baramba was widely thought among the dems to be the spark of up to 40 years of liberal dominance, and now looking back it lasted maybe 6 months depending how you want to add it up. It isn't possible, but it appears to be happening anyway. A deeply anti-intellectual move by Democrats putting him up over Hillary. Deeply anti-intellectual. Almost revelry in ignorance, to borrow a phrase. Hillary would have had us in gray smocks with little red books on the bedstand over a year ago.
It looks like Barack is Ba-roken.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/144053/2010- ... -Past.aspxSo I can't get the graphics to post, so please read the graphs at the link. I see it all around me. People I never thought would vote GOP now talk about it enthusiastically, and I hear the phrase "I can't wait for election day" almost every day, from people who hated George Bush. I can't believe it.
So I cannot hazard a guess at how many seats. The numbers are all over the place. 50? Seems at this point that is quite lowball. Some say 100? Seems like too much. Who knows. Maybe 60-70, which I think would be a record. I would say the chance of the Dems retaining the house is under 10%.
At this point, I think there is only one person I know of who thinks that Democrats will pick up seats, and that would be Milo. I have no idea how he came up with that. For a guy who bases some of his biggest opinions on the consensus of professionals/experts, why he would depart radically from his MO is beyond me. Who knows. He may have a crystal ball. I don't, not anymore. Maybe 60 or so. We'll see.
The Constitution is not an instrument for the government to restrain the people, it is an instrument for the people to restrain the government - lest it come to dominate our lives and interests Patrick Henry
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