by Hapax Legomenon » Wed Jun 08, 2011 6:41 am
When responding to Mr. P earlier this year on Ron Paul, I said that I thought that Obama was practically a lock, at -200 (in betting terms, that is 200 to win 100). Since then, he is at -250, in spite of negative economic and polling reports. While my spirit would like Ron Paul to win, my common sense, along with the historical record of incumbent success, tells me that Obama will be reelected in 2012. So, there is money to be made on the downside to -180 or so, but the line tells me that Obama getting upset is unlikely. Where to buy Ron Paul, if at all? (An aside: Mitt Romney will not win, under any circumstances. The evangelical right WILL NOT support a Mormon, no matter what) We got a problem--the RNC needs a real communicator. I am biased and am willing to be persuaded, but I don't see any challenge to Obama in 2012, outside of an unforeseen emergency.